New England vs. Oakland,
11/19/2017 16:25 EDT
Point Spread: -6½/-116 New England
The Raiders go head to head with the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots this Sunday in Estadio Azteca in Mexico City . The Pats after a slow start to their campaign have looked over powering of late and last week against the leagues No.1 defense (Denver) put 41 points on the board in a lopsided win. This week vs the 28 th overall ranked Raiders total defense, that allows 361.1 ypg, another romp is expected by me. The champs D, was also a question mark earlier on this season, but wow , have they ever come around, as is evident by allowing 14,17,7, 13 and 16 points in their L/5 overall allowing a combined average of just 13.4 ppg. I know the Raiders behind their stud QB Derek Carr have a reputation for being an explosive offensive team, but to this point in the season have not shown much consistency this year with their attack, averaging just 21.8 ppg, and I'm betting will find it hard to keep up with their behemoth opponents today.
Belichick is 28-9 ATS L/37 after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games with the average score clicking in at NE 28.8 opposition 18.8 and is 15-4 ATS L/19 after allowing 17 points or less in 4 straight games with the average score clicking in at NE 29.3 opposition 17.5. NEW ENGLAND is 13-0 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games with the average margin of victory coming by 15.5 ppg ( 2 TD plus)
OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS L/12 in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 .NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS L/6 after gaining 375 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games.NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored.NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS L/6 as a road favorite of 7 points or less.NEW ENGLAND is 10-1 ATS L/11 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play.
NFL Road teams (NEW ENGLAND) - mistake-free team (1.25 TO/G or less committed) vs a team with 1.25 TO/G or less forced after 8+ games, after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 43-17 ATS over the L/34 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Projected score: New England 37 Oakland 17
Play on the New England Pats to cover