Mississippi-Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State, 01/12/2019 13:00 EDT, Score: 81 - 77

Point Spread: -5½/-115 Mississippi State

Sportsbook: Bookmaker

Result: Loss

I'm playing on MISSISSIPPI STATE (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). Needless to say, this is always a big game. Last season, the Rebels won by six on their homecourt while the Bulldogs won by 17, as -7.5 point favorites, on theirs. I expect homecourt to again prove significant this afternoon. The Rebels have not fared well as small-med sized road underdogs. In fact, they're 0-7 SU/ATS the last seven times that they were listed as road underdogs in the +3.5 to +6 range. During the same stretch, the Bulldogs are 7-4 ATS as home favorites (or pick'em) of six or fewer points. The Bulldogs check in off a 87-82 road loss at South Carolina, which was preceded by a 103-81 blowout of BYU. While the Gamecock loss was disappointing for them, don't expect them to be discouraged from it this afternoon. The Bulldogs are 10-4 ATS the past couple of seasons, when off a road loss. During that span, they're also 7-1 ATS after allowing 75 or more points in two or more consecutive games. Expect them to bounce back, picking up the cover along the way.

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