Chi White Sox vs. Cleveland, 04/01/2019 16:10 EDT, Score: 3 - 5

Total: +104/+7½ Over

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Win

The set-up: The Indians have stumbled out of the gate to open 2019, thanks in part to a poor offense for the most part. The Tribe head home for their first game at Progressive Field in 2019 and I think it’ll be just what the doctor ordered to get things turned around at the plate for the home side. The White Sox lost 14 of 19 in this season series last year, so they won’t be lacking for motivation either. The pitchers are decent, but the overall situation lends itself to a higher-scoring slug-fest in my opinion.

The pitchers: The White Sox turn to Ivan Nova, who was 11-14 with a 4.14 ERA in 2017 and 9-9 with a 4.19 ERA last year for the Pirates. Nova comes in off a decent spring, but I think he’ll have his hands full with this under-achieving and focused Indians’ line-up.

Cleveland goes with Mike Clevinger, who was 12-6 with a 3.11 ERA in 2017 and 13-8 with a 3.02 ERA in 2018. Clevinger had a strong spring as well.

The pick: As stated off the top, these starters are both solid, however as I also noted, the situation points to a higher-scoring affair in my opinion. Take it for what you will as well, but Chicago has seen the total go over the number in 30 of its last 50 as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range, while Cleveland has seen the total go over in 29 of its last 49 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range.

Indians/White Sox OVER

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