Baltimore vs. Toronto, 07/06/2019 15:07 EDT, Score: 8 - 1

Total: -115/+11 Under

Sportsbook: Bookmaker

Result: Win

I'm playing on Baltimore/Toronto UNDER the total. Yesterday's game produced just five runs. With both starters in good current form, I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair on Saturday afternoon. Cashner, who could find himself on a contender before too long, had a dominant 1.44 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in four June starts. He didn't serve up a home run the entire month. When Cashner faced the Jays earlier this season, he tossed six shutout innings. The final score was 2-1. Going back further finds that his last six starts against the Jays have all finished with fewer than 10 combined runs. In fact, there were only 33 runs scored in the six games combined, just 5.5 rpg. Admittedly, Richard's overall numbers are pretty ugly, a big part of the reason for the high O/U number. However, he's turned the corner of late. I won with the Jays in Richard's last start, a home win over the Royals. That was his second straight quality outing, the first coming at Yankee Stadium. Richard faced the O's a couple of times earlier in his career. Both those starts finished with single digits in runs. The Under has been money when the Jays were home favorites of this size. Look for this one to finish below the generous number.

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