Pittsburgh vs. LA Angels, 08/12/2019 22:07 EDT, Score: 10 - 2

Total: +105/+9½ Under

Sportsbook: Bodog

Result: Loss

10* Under Pirates/Angels (10:07 ET): Talk about two struggling teams. The Pirates have lost eight in a row as well as 24 of 28 since the All-Star Break. You can't say I didn't warn you as all season the Bucs have had a poor run differential, indicating that they are one of the weaker teams the National League has to offer. It was months ago that I guaranteed they would finish last in the NL Central and that prediction looks like it will come true as they have fallen well behind the rest of the pack. They've been outscored by 100 runs this year after Sunday's 11-9 loss to the Cardinals (where they blew an 8-4 lead).

The Angels did win both Saturday & Sunday, beating the Red Sox 12-4 and 5-4. The latter came in extra innings yday, a game which I still cashed the Under. As I pointed out in the analysis, that 12-run effort was largely a byproduct of a sloppy inning by the opposition and was highly unlikely to repeat itself. They actually finished that game w/ more runs than hits, which isn't easy to do. They rallied yday for the 5-4 win, but still are just 4-12 their L16 games overall and finished the road trip at 2-7. The Under is a perfect 4-0 the L4 times the Angels have returned home after a road trip of at least seven days.

This will be Pittsburgh's first venture in Anaheim since 2013. They've decided to recall Mitch Keller to start Monday's game after he spent the last two months down in Triple-A Indianapolis. Keller did start three big league games earlier in the year and they didn't go very well, but I think he'll do better here as the Angels are batting a collective .189 their L7 games. The Angels counter w/ Jose Suarez, who is coming off B2B losses, including a bad outing in Cincinnati his last time out. But this is a weaker NL lineup that he'll be facing this go around and Pittsburgh is averaging just 3.3 rpg its last seven contests. The Under is 10-4-1 the L15 times the Pirates have been off a game where they gave up 5+ runs. 10* Under Pirates/Angels

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